Atmosphere Comparison

Moderator: HAZ - Moderators

 Linked Guides none
 Linked Area, etc none
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Atmosphere Comparison

Post by Jim »

The endless chatter of weather.
Last edited by big_load on Aug 01 2017 9:52 pm, edited 25 times in total.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
paulhubbard
Guides: 7 | Official Routes: 1
Triplogs Last: 518 d | RS: 0
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 4,176 d
Joined: Jun 01 2010 9:54 am
City, State: Mesa, AZ
Contact:

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by paulhubbard »

Waterfalls galore this spring? Hope so!!
Good judgement comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgement.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

Man, it's already 23 and it is forecast to go down to 14 tonight. I'm tired of winter, is it spring yet?
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
JimmyLyding
Guides: 111 | Official Routes: 94
Triplogs Last: 544 d | RS: 0
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 2,116 d
Joined: Feb 16 2007 3:17 pm
City, State: Walnut Creek, CA

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by JimmyLyding »

I predict Flagstaff will be exceptionally cold and windy the next 7 weeks. Then Tucson will see an abnormally high amount of rain through April. I'm envisioning the Rillito overflowing its banks. Next summer in Tucson will see record temperatures about every day with the exception of monsoon season which will see an abnormally active monsoon season. The tough weather will follow Jim_H like a hungry dog follows a steaming fresh chicken pot pie.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
imike
Guides: 253 | Official Routes: 0
Triplogs Last: 2,833 d | RS: 0
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 4,505 d
Joined: Nov 05 2008 10:05 pm
City, State: Cloudcroft, NM

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by imike »

23 here this morning... colder than predicted! heading up into the 60's... sunny and clear.
Ageless Mind... Timeless Body... No Way! Use It and Lose It. Just the way it is...
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
chumley
Guides: 94 | Official Routes: 242
Triplogs Last: 10 d | RS: 66
Water Reports 1Y: 78 | Last: 12 d
Joined: Sep 18 2002 8:59 am
City, State: Tempe, AZ

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by chumley »

Jim Lyding wrote:The tough weather will follow Jim_H
:sl:
I'm not sure what my spirit animal is, but I'm confident it has rabies.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

That would be something. Just remember, it comes in through California.

Looks like we only got down to 17 last night, not 14, so gee it wasn't that bad.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

OVER THE WEEKEND...MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN MOVING THE PACIFIC LOW
ACROSS THE WESTERN UNITED STATES WITH WINDY AND COOL CONDITIONS
SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA. IN ADDITION...WITH SUCH A STRONG AND COLD
LOW...THERE IS LIKELY TO BE AN INCREASING CHANCE OF VALLEY RAIN AND
MOUNTAIN SNOW AS THE WEEKEND PROGRESSES. STAY TUNED FOR FURTHER
UPDATES.
From the NWS. Will this be the first good storm of the season? If it's going to be cold, it might as well be snowy.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

In the lighter side of the forum, the NWS is calling for up to 6 inches of snow around Flagstaff over the next few days, more up on the Peaks to the tune of nearly a foot. I think it will be a little drier, but we shall see. Even if it takes a dry and warm turn, winter is here folks.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
PaleoRob
Guides: 171 | Official Routes: 78
Triplogs Last: 448 d | RS: 24
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 836 d
Joined: Apr 03 2006 12:21 pm
City, State: Pocatello, ID
Contact:

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by PaleoRob »

Snowing in Page right now, though not really sticking. It was coming down good on Kaibab around lunch time.
"The only thing we did was wrong was staying in the wilderness to long...the only thing we did was right was the day we started to fight..."
-Old Spiritual
My book, The Marauders on Lulu and Amazon
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

We had a good amount of rain and sleet overnight, and it has been precipitating grapple, snow and sleet most of the day. Flag NWS reports 1.08 inches of precipitation for the month at the airport. We are forecast to get some snow over night, but we'll see. I imagine it has been pretty good on the Peaks.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
azbackpackr
Guides: 27 | Official Routes: 23
Triplogs Last: 82 d | RS: 0
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 775 d
Joined: Jan 21 2006 6:46 am
City, State: Eagar AZ

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by azbackpackr »

Ugh. I am holed up in my trailer. It is a very good day to read a book. I did go turkey shopping, and am glad to be home.

Really lucked out yesterday at Lee's Ferry, that the serious weather did not hit while PageRob and ToadOfTheRocks and I were hiking Spencer Trail and Cathedral Wash, or while driving home from there this morning. I just heard that the storm did hit the Ferry this afternoon, finally, with very strong wind and some rain that came roaring down the Paria.
There is a point of no return unremarked at the time in most lives. Graham Greene The Comedians
A clean house is a sign of a misspent life.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
chumley
Guides: 94 | Official Routes: 242
Triplogs Last: 10 d | RS: 66
Water Reports 1Y: 78 | Last: 12 d
Joined: Sep 18 2002 8:59 am
City, State: Tempe, AZ

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by chumley »

Before it got dark out, the Fort Valley webcam was showing maybe 2 inches. Forest Lakes had barely an inch, but the Nordic Center appeared to have several inches.

Looks like it'll mostly wind down by around midnight (except out East) so I wouldn't expect more than another inch or two as the snow level drops below 6k.
I'm not sure what my spirit animal is, but I'm confident it has rabies.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

Really, as this early date, I'm just happy we got some significant moisture around here, be it rain or snow. It makes it easier on the vegetation if it is dry this winter and coming spring, and it makes today's miserable weather bearable on some level.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
hippiepunkpirate
Guides: 25 | Official Routes: 23
Triplogs Last: 277 d | RS: 0
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 3,650 d
Joined: May 30 2008 7:43 am
City, State: Peoria, AZ
Contact:

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by hippiepunkpirate »

Had about 3 inches of snow on my car this morning.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

We might get some more light snow this evening and night. I welcome it, but I hope that Snowbowl cleans the road off and keeps it open for Friday. I'm actually a little concerned that Snowbowl Road will be closed for the weekend and I won't be able to drive up there to hike Humphrey.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

They're calling for a low of 5 Wednesday night and 2 on Thursday. Does this cold seem a bit early?
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
paulhubbard
Guides: 7 | Official Routes: 1
Triplogs Last: 518 d | RS: 0
Water Reports 1Y: 0 | Last: 4,176 d
Joined: Jun 01 2010 9:54 am
City, State: Mesa, AZ
Contact:

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by paulhubbard »

When I was a kid there were many time when we were skiing by Thanksgiving.
Good judgement comes from experience. Experience comes from bad judgement.
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

I suppose so. It just seems so shocking when as recently as the 5th it was nearly 70 around here.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

Well, the low in Flagstaff last night was 13, it's 15 right now and the NWS is calling for a low of 4. Will we make it, or even go lower? Maybe we'll slip below zero? Can my heater keep up? Probably.

Ooooo, and a few minutes after I posted the above, the NWS updated the forecast to a low of 1 degree. 1 is almost 0, if you didn't know.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
User avatar
Jim
Guides: 73 | Official Routes: 36
Triplogs Last: 11 d | RS: 67
Water Reports 1Y: 9 | Last: 147 d
Joined: Sep 08 2006 8:14 pm

Re: How much Snow will we get this La Nina winter?

Post by Jim »

Nope, only got to 5, and it's 12 now. They should have stuck with the original forecast. Window Rock got to 3 last night, but they did go below zero two nights ago.
🍭
contribute to this member driven resource
ie: RS > Save/Share after hikes Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on the App Store Route Scout GPS Topo Mapper on Google Play
Post Reply

Return to “Weather”