Atmosphere Comparison
Posted: May 15 2009 8:25 pm
The endless chatter of weather.
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If by cold snap you mean relatively normal winter temperatures, that's probably true!joe bartels wrote:We usually get a cold snap in Dec
There was a snowball in congress!big_load wrote:NY and NJ will clinch the warmest December in history, even with a some more seasonal temperatures next week. The average thus far in December is 13F above the comparable historical average.
It was 73F on Christmas Eve, which WNBC News pointed out was only 3 degrees cooler than the 4th of July. It was in the mid-60s today, and we celebrated Christmas with some canoeing down at the lake. It's far from the first time we've done that, but it certainly was the warmest. One year there was thin ice on the whole lake, which made for some slow going.
However, January is when winter really kicks in here, and all this warm weather will probably be a dim, distant memory when the snow finally stops falling on Tax Day.
I'd love to see some rain. But I still think the el niño hype is comical. So far there's nothing about this winter that has been anything that isn't typical for winter in AZ. Even if next week turns out as forecast, it's something that typically happens a couple of times a season regardless of SST.Confidence is becoming quite high...That a major change in the weather is on the way... The well-above normal sea-surface temperatures that have existed over the past several months are finally now being reflected in the atmosphere...As typically seen during el-nino episodes... Quite likely that this system will be able to pull a rather rich plume of tropical moisture... Forecast is showing an atmospheric river developing by next monday just off the northern baja coast... Capable of producing widespread rainfall... Behind this 1st system...It appears that at least two more systems could affect our weather through the remainder of next week...Perhaps the beginning of the widely expected el-nino-influenced precip surge across the region.
I would love to see some rain. My sinuses are driving me crazy and hope that we can clear up the air around town. Even better if it just rains Monday through Friday so that I can get outside on the weekend.chumley wrote:Oh boy, the NWS forecasters are getting giddy!![]()
I'd love to see some rain. But I still think the el niño hype is comical. So far there's nothing about this winter that has been anything that isn't typical for winter in AZ. Even if next week turns out as forecast, it's something that typically happens a couple of times a season regardless of SST.Confidence is becoming quite high...That a major change in the weather is on the way... The well-above normal sea-surface temperatures that have existed over the past several months are finally now being reflected in the atmosphere...As typically seen during el-nino episodes... Quite likely that this system will be able to pull a rather rich plume of tropical moisture... Forecast is showing an atmospheric river developing by next monday just off the northern baja coast... Capable of producing widespread rainfall... Behind this 1st system...It appears that at least two more systems could affect our weather through the remainder of next week...Perhaps the beginning of the widely expected el-nino-influenced precip surge across the region.
12 step program? ;) ;)Sredfield wrote: I need a week or more of drying out
ECHO SUMMIT, Calif. — The water content of the Sierra Nevada snowpack in drought-stricken California was 136 percent of normal Wednesday when officials took the winter's first manual survey — an encouraging result after nearly no snow was found at the site in April.
The latest snow level is a good sign, "but that's it — it's a start," said Frank Gehrke, chief of the California Cooperative Snow Surveys Program for the Department of Water Resources.
After four years of drought, Gehrke plunged a measuring pole into a thick field of snow in the Central Sierra, which includes Lake Tahoe. His survey followed an electronic measurement last week that put the water content of the snowpack at 112 percent of normal. Even more snow has fallen since then.
The snowpack provides about 30 percent of California's water supply during the months when it melts and rushes through rivers and streams to fill reservoirs that remain critically low.
Last Jan. 1, the snowpack was a meager 45 percent of the historical average. On April 1, it had dropped to a record low of 5 percent.
Gehrke said snow must continue falling through April for him to feel confident the drought is easing.
"There's going to be those anxious moments when we start to get into a week, a week-and-a-half with no snow," he said.
A brewing El Nino system — a warming in the Pacific Ocean that alters weather worldwide — is expected to impact California and the rest of the nation in the coming months, according to a NASA report released Tuesday.
Its effects on California's drought are hard to predict, but Jet Propulsion Laboratory climatologist Bill Patzert said it should bring some relief. El Ninos in the early 1980s and late 1990s brought about twice as much rain as normal, he said.
The weather also caused mudslides, flooding and high surf in Southern California.
"The water story for much of the American West over most of the past decade has been dominated by punishing drought," Patzert said. "Now, we're preparing to see the flip-side of nature's water cycle — the arrival of steady, heavy rains and snowfall."
Forecasters expect a light to moderate storm system in Northern California early next week